The 30-year main contract of treasury bond futures rose to 0.62%, which continued to hit a new high. In addition, the 10-year main contract rose by 0.37%, the 5-year main contract rose by 0.27%, and the 2-year main contract rose by 0.09%, which was another record.The yield of China's 30-year national debt "24 Special National Debt 06" fell below 2%, hitting a new low.According to CITIC Securities, it is necessary for deficit ratio to rise to nearly 4%, and mortgage interest rates is expected to fall further. According to Yicai, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing on December 11th and 12th. Regarding what it means to change the tone of fiscal policy from "positive" to "more positive", the chief economist of CITIC Securities clearly said that I think it means that the whole fiscal policy will be further expanded next year. First of all, from the perspective of deficit ratio, our deficit ratio is 3% this year and 3% at the beginning of last year. However, we had a special budget adjustment at the end of last year, so the deficit ratio from the end of last year to the end of last year was actually 3.8%. Looking forward to next year, we think that the ratio that may be close to 4% should be the effect that everyone expects to achieve at present. In terms of monetary policy, we can see a series of monetary policies, including further relaxing some restrictions on purchase restriction and loan restriction, including the down payment ratio, and a particularly important one is to reduce the mortgage interest rates. I think these monetary policies will be further promoted in the future, and even further declined in mortgage interest rates, for example.
Chen Guo, China Securities: The 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in all directions, and the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Chen Guo, chief strategy officer of China Securities, said that the meeting had seven highlights, including clarifying the growth target and fiscal and monetary policy measures, expanding domestic demand in all directions as the top priority of the policy, focusing on "AI+" in science and technology, focusing on implementation of reform measures, paying attention to coping with external shocks in opening up, strengthening the expression of real estate policies, and increasing efforts to improve people's livelihood. Chen Guo said that further RRR cuts and interest rate cuts from the end of 2024 to 2025 are worth looking forward to, and the easing of the liquidity environment has become a market consensus. However, this does not mean that liquidity is rampant, because the growth of money supply in the scale of social financing still continues the requirement of matching the expected target of the overall price level of economic growth. Chen Guo believes that the 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the strength and direction of the policy are in line with expectations. With the support of policy expectations and liquidity, it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of volatility. From the perspective of investment strategy, Chen Guo suggested focusing on non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain and other sectors. In terms of theme, it is suggested to pay attention to investment opportunities such as "duality" and "two innovations", supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises and CSI A500 index.The yield of China's 30-year national debt "24 Special National Debt 06" fell below 2%, hitting a new low.Lingang Group and Cisco signed a memorandum of cooperation to build an intelligent AI+ ecosystem. According to Shanghai Lingang News, Lingang Group and Cisco China signed a memorandum of cooperation on December 11th, and both parties will work together to build an intelligent AI+ ecosystem. Lingang Group will empower Cisco to enhance the core competitiveness and market-oriented application of its core AI products through projects in the fields of AI+ intelligent computing scenarios, vehicle network collaboration and smart travel in industrial zones, and will support Cisco to promote the digital transformation and continuous iteration of industrial zones. Cisco will fully participate in the construction of the AI innovation platform in the industrial zone, help the industrial zone to cultivate and build a digital industry team, and provide all-round assistance for the digital development of the industrial zone.
The concept of robot bottomed out and Tianqi shares rose linearly, and Tianqi shares rose linearly. Before that, the construction industry went out of 9 boards in 10 days, Astar went out of 13 boards in 21 days, and Tongda Power went up. Hanyu Group, Maihe, Jiangsu Reilly, Hanwei Technology and Best were among the top gainers.ST Mo Long and other materials companies have set up sales business of renewable resources. The enterprise search APP shows that recently, Shandong Cangyuan Materials Co., Ltd. was established, with Liu Shuai as the legal representative and a registered capital of 5 million yuan. Its business scope includes: sales of machinery and equipment; Sales of coal and products; Sales of renewable resources; Import and export agents, etc. Enterprise equity penetration shows that the company is jointly held by ST Mo Long and others.Guangdong Electric Power A and others set up enterprise service companies with AI business. The enterprise search APP shows that recently, Guangdong Energy Group Enterprise Service Co., Ltd. was established, with the legal representative of Xu Lin and the registered capital of 150 million yuan. Its business scope includes: artificial intelligence basic resources and technology platform; Research and development of intelligent robots; Artificial intelligence industry application system integration services. Enterprise equity penetration shows that the company is jointly held by Guangdong Electric Power A and others.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-13